Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-18 · 17:00
13.3428.5%
X3.5926.5%
22.1244.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Torino
DLDDDDDLWD
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM
Roma
LWLWLLDWLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.60
2.10
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
5.90N=10
4.10
Against
2.60
9.00
Total
8.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
2.00
2.70
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Torino attack
1.30goals per matchRoma conceded2.00Matchup
Roma attack
1.30goals per matchTorino conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
4.10
Corners against
2.60
9.00
Match total
8.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.20
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.60N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
29.20
Match total
26.90
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
5.90
On target
5.20
11%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches49
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.5%32.7%+4.1 pp
Draw26.5%22.4%-4.1 pp
Away44.9%44.9%-0.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS59.2%
Historical average
1.22–1.61
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-012.2%
1-112.2%
2-110.2%
1-210.2%
0-28.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.69–5.35
Average total10.04
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=49.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.2%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.532.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Draw FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Away FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.76
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals58.8%
3+ goals29.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.8%
Away58.8%