Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-18 · 14:00
12.0047.6%
X3.7025.7%
23.5826.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
WLDDWLDWWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Spezia
LLWDLWLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
2.30
50%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

2.00
1H goals
0.60
0.80
2H goals
2.80
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.60
Against
3.90
9.30
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
2.30
2.80
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.40goals per match
Spezia conceded2.30
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.10goals per match
Bologna conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
2.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.90
9.30
Match total
8.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.90
Match total
4.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
27.50
Match total
28.00

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
5.20
On target
3.40
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches100
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.6%45.0%-2.6 pp
Draw25.7%29.0%+3.3 pp
Away26.6%26.0%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.533.0%
BTTS54.0%

Historical average

1.621.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.0%
2-011.0%
0-19.0%
1-08.0%
2-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.494.21
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=100.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.539.0%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.2%14.9%–49.2% CI
Draw FT41.7%24.5%–61.2% CI
Away FT29.2%14.9%–49.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.04

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.8%
2+ goals29.2%
3+ goals4.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.8%
Away41.7%