Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-18 · 14:00
12.4738.7%
X3.5826.7%
22.7634.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
WWWDLDWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Juventus
DWWWLWLDWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

3.10
Scored
1.90
1.40
Conceded
1.00
90%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.40
3.00
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
6.70N=10
2.50
Against
4.80
7.90
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.10
Goals scored
1.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.00
4.50
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

3.10goals per match
Juventus conceded1.00
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.90goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
2.20
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
2.50
Corners against
4.80
7.90
Match total
11.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.00
Match total
4.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
26.60
Match total
26.10

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
7.20
On target
6.70
21%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.7%57.9%+19.2 pp
Draw26.7%10.5%-16.2 pp
Away34.6%31.6%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.594.7%
Over 2.584.2%
Over 3.547.4%
BTTS73.7%

Historical average

2.051.53

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.8%
3-115.8%
2-110.5%
4-05.3%
1-15.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.426.21
Average total11.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.9%
Over 9.573.7%
Over 10.563.2%
Over 11.557.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away45.5%