Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-18 · 11:30
11.4864.5%
X4.5121.2%
26.6614.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Milan
DWLWLWLDLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Genoa
LWLDWDLLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.70
Against
5.80
11.50
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Milan attack
1.40goals per matchGenoa conceded1.30Matchup
Genoa attack
0.90goals per matchMilan conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.80
11.50
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.90
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
27.00
Match total
29.10
Shots
13.50N=10
Shots
7.00N=10
6.70
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches48
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.5%52.1%-12.4 pp
Draw21.2%33.3%+12.2 pp
Away14.3%14.6%+0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.92–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.7%
1-010.4%
2-010.4%
2-28.3%
0-26.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.25–3.71
Average total9.96
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=48.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.531.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Draw FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.69
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals15.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home76.9%
Away38.5%