Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-17 · 19:45
12.2243.0%
X3.4427.7%
23.2629.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
DLLLDLLWLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Parma
WDLLDLLDDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.40
1.70
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.20N=10
6.20
Against
6.00
12.50
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.70
Goals conceded
2.00
2.30
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

0.60goals per match
Parma conceded2.00
Matchup

Parma attack

1.40goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
6.20
Corners against
6.00
12.50
Match total
9.20
100%10/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
100%10/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.60
Match total
5.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
28.20
Match total
31.00

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
3.70
On target
3.90
6%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches323
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.0%44.9%+1.9 pp
Draw27.7%23.8%-3.9 pp
Away29.3%31.3%+2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.4%
BTTS49.2%

Historical average

1.401.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.4%
1-111.5%
2-19.9%
0-19.3%
0-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.564.41
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=323.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.6%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches108
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.9%30.2%–48.3% CI
Draw FT34.3%26.0%–43.6% CI
Away FT26.9%19.4%–35.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals36.1%
3+ goals14.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.6%
Away45.4%