Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-17 · 19:45
12.2243.0%
X3.4427.7%
23.2629.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cagliari
DLLLDLLWLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Parma
WDLLDLLDDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
1.40
1.70
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
3.20N=10
6.20
Against
6.00
12.50
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.40
1.70
Goals conceded
2.00
2.30
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cagliari attack
0.60goals per matchParma conceded2.00Matchup
Parma attack
1.40goals per matchCagliari conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
6.20
Corners against
6.00
12.50
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.60
Match total
5.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.20N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
28.20
Match total
31.00
Shots
10.90N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
3.70
On target
3.90
6%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches323
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.0%44.9%+1.9 pp
Draw27.7%23.8%-3.9 pp
Away29.3%31.3%+2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.4%
BTTS49.2%
Historical average
1.40–1.20
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-012.4%
1-111.5%
2-19.9%
0-19.3%
0-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.56–4.41
Average total9.98
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=323.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.6%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.532.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches108
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.9%30.2%–48.3% CI
Draw FT34.3%26.0%–43.6% CI
Away FT26.9%19.4%–35.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals36.1%
3+ goals14.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.6%
Away45.4%