Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-17 · 17:00
12.5138.0%
X3.2129.7%
22.9532.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sassuolo
LWLWDLDDWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Fiorentina
LLWLLDLLWD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.10
1.70
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.40
Against
5.00
10.00
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.70
Goals conceded
1.90
3.20
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.50goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.90
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.10goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.00
10.00
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.70
Match total
3.70
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
28.00
Match total
28.70

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
5.90
On target
4.40
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.0%42.9%+4.9 pp
Draw29.7%21.4%-8.3 pp
Away32.3%35.7%+3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS64.3%

Historical average

1.431.39

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.9%
0-210.7%
1-010.7%
3-110.7%
1-310.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.614.50
Average total9.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.542.9%
Over 9.535.7%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.521.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.4%27.3%–68.3% CI
Draw FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Away FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.79

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals31.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.2%
Away52.6%