Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-17 · 14:00
14.1323.1%
X3.6226.4%
21.8950.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crotone
LWWLWLLLWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Udinese
DLDLWLDDDL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.20
2.20
Conceded
1.90
90%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.40
2.20
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.20
Against
5.60
11.20
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
2.20
Goals conceded
1.90
4.00
Total goals
3.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Crotone attack

1.80goals per match
Udinese conceded1.90
Matchup

Udinese attack

1.20goals per match
Crotone conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
6.20
Corners against
5.60
11.20
Match total
8.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
6.00
Match total
4.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
31.80
Match total
26.60

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
5.30
On target
4.50
18%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches69
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.1%26.1%+3.0 pp
Draw26.4%21.7%-4.6 pp
Away50.5%52.2%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

1.281.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.5%
1-111.6%
2-38.7%
0-18.7%
2-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.135.64
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=69.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.524.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Draw FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI
Away FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals52.6%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.9%
Away63.2%