Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-17 · 14:00
14.1323.1%
X3.6226.4%
21.8950.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Crotone
LWWLWLLLWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Udinese
DLDLWLDDDL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.20
2.20
Conceded
1.90
90%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.80
1H goals
1.40
2.20
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
3.10N=10
6.20
Against
5.60
11.20
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
2.20
Goals conceded
1.90
4.00
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Crotone attack
1.80goals per matchUdinese conceded1.90Matchup
Udinese attack
1.20goals per matchCrotone conceded2.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
6.20
Corners against
5.60
11.20
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
6.00
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.20N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
31.80
Match total
26.60
Shots
10.20N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
5.30
On target
4.50
18%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches69
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.1%26.1%+3.0 pp
Draw26.4%21.7%-4.6 pp
Away50.5%52.2%+1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS66.7%
Historical average
1.28–1.68
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-214.5%
1-111.6%
2-38.7%
0-18.7%
2-08.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.13–5.64
Average total9.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=69.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.524.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Draw FT42.1%23.1%–63.7% CI
Away FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.63
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals52.6%
3+ goals15.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.9%
Away63.2%