Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-12 · 19:45
13.4427.7%
X3.5826.6%
22.0945.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Benevento
DWLLDDDLLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Sassuolo
DWLLLDWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.30
1.90
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
5.80N=10
6.40
Against
6.30
10.90
Total
12.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.30
1.90
Goals conceded
2.20
2.90
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Benevento attack
1.00goals per matchSassuolo conceded2.20Matchup
Sassuolo attack
1.30goals per matchBenevento conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
6.40
Corners against
6.30
10.90
Match total
12.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.00
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.60N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
31.80
Match total
24.10
Shots
8.70N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
3.90
On target
4.30
11%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches54
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.7%33.3%+5.6 pp
Draw26.6%20.4%-6.3 pp
Away45.6%46.3%+0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.564.8%
Over 3.542.6%
BTTS64.8%
Historical average
1.46–1.80
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-211.1%
1-39.3%
0-07.4%
2-07.4%
2-17.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.81–5.35
Average total10.17
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=54.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.94
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals58.8%
3+ goals35.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.1%
Away70.6%