Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-11 · 19:45
15.2818.1%
X4.2922.3%
21.6059.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
DDDWWLWLDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Atalanta
DDDWDWWWLW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.60
1.30
Conceded
0.60
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
6.40N=10
4.20
Against
3.40
9.20
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded
0.60
2.70
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.40goals per match
Atalanta conceded0.60
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.60goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
4.20
Corners against
3.40
9.20
Match total
9.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.50
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
17.90N=10
25.90
Match total
32.40

Shots

9.70N=10
Shots
14.60N=10
3.90
On target
7.70
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.1%23.3%+5.2 pp
Draw22.3%18.6%-3.6 pp
Away59.7%58.1%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.569.8%
Over 3.539.5%
BTTS65.1%

Historical average

1.142.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.0%
2-114.0%
1-49.3%
0-29.3%
2-29.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.956.07
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.560.5%
Over 10.534.9%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Draw FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away63.6%