Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-11 · 17:00
11.7454.9%
X4.0523.6%
24.4421.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
WWWDWWWLWL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Bologna
DDDLLWDLLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.20
Against
6.40
8.50
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
3.40
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Roma attack

2.10goals per match
Bologna conceded1.40
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.10goals per match
Roma conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.20
Corners against
6.40
8.50
Match total
10.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.40
Match total
4.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

16.50N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
29.10
Match total
26.30

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
7.40
On target
5.80
16%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches54
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.9%63.0%+8.1 pp
Draw23.6%14.8%-8.8 pp
Away21.5%22.2%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.535.2%
BTTS64.8%

Historical average

1.961.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-120.4%
1-111.1%
2-07.4%
1-07.4%
1-25.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.815.09
Average total10.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=54.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.4%
Over 9.557.4%
Over 10.548.1%
Over 11.540.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away70.0%