Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-11 · 14:00
13.5926.6%
X3.3628.5%
22.1344.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Verona
LDLLWWWDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Lazio
WDLDWWLLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.10
Against
4.40
9.50
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Verona attack

1.10goals per match
Lazio conceded1.50
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.40goals per match
Verona conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.40
9.50
Match total
9.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.60
Match total
3.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.90N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
31.40
Match total
24.10

Shots

9.70N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
4.80
On target
5.70
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches92
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.6%21.7%-4.9 pp
Draw28.5%25.0%-3.5 pp
Away44.9%53.3%+8.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS47.8%

Historical average

0.961.49

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-118.5%
1-210.9%
0-010.9%
1-18.7%
0-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.405.16
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=92.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.526.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%8.3%–33.5% CI
Draw FT44.1%28.9%–60.5% CI
Away FT38.2%23.9%–55.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals44.1%
3+ goals20.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.2%
Away58.8%