Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-11 · 14:00
13.5926.6%
X3.3628.5%
22.1344.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Verona
LDLLWWWDLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Lazio
WDLDWWLLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.10
Against
4.40
9.50
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Verona attack
1.10goals per matchLazio conceded1.50Matchup
Lazio attack
1.40goals per matchVerona conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.40
9.50
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.60
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.90N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
31.40
Match total
24.10
Shots
9.70N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
4.80
On target
5.70
11%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches92
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.6%21.7%-4.9 pp
Draw28.5%25.0%-3.5 pp
Away44.9%53.3%+8.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS47.8%
Historical average
0.96–1.49
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-118.5%
1-210.9%
0-010.9%
1-18.7%
0-27.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.40–5.16
Average total9.57
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=92.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.526.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%8.3%–33.5% CI
Draw FT44.1%28.9%–60.5% CI
Away FT38.2%23.9%–55.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.47
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals44.1%
3+ goals20.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home41.2%
Away58.8%