Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-11 · 14:00
14.6520.5%
X3.9224.3%
21.7355.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sampdoria
LWLWWLWLDW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Napoli
LWWLLLDWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.70
1.50
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
5.30N=10
6.00
Against
3.80
12.10
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
3.00
Total goals
3.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.50goals per match
Napoli conceded1.80
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.70goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
6.00
Corners against
3.80
12.10
Match total
9.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.40
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
25.90
Match total
24.90

Shots

8.70N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
4.50
On target
6.60
17%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.5%16.9%-3.6 pp
Draw24.3%25.3%+1.0 pp
Away55.1%57.8%+2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.536.1%
BTTS61.4%

Historical average

1.022.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.9%
1-210.8%
0-29.6%
1-48.4%
0-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

3.965.83
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.0%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.528.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Draw FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Away FT45.5%26.9%–65.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.4%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away63.6%