Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-11 · 14:00
14.6520.5%
X3.9224.3%
21.7355.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sampdoria
LWLWWLWLDW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Napoli
LWWLLLDWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.70
1.50
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
5.30N=10
6.00
Against
3.80
12.10
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
3.00
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sampdoria attack
1.50goals per matchNapoli conceded1.80Matchup
Napoli attack
1.70goals per matchSampdoria conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
6.00
Corners against
3.80
12.10
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.40
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
25.90
Match total
24.90
Shots
8.70N=10
Shots
13.90N=10
4.50
On target
6.60
17%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.5%16.9%-3.6 pp
Draw24.3%25.3%+1.0 pp
Away55.1%57.8%+2.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.536.1%
BTTS61.4%
Historical average
1.02–2.05
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.9%
1-210.8%
0-29.6%
1-48.4%
0-17.2%
Comparable corner averages
3.96–5.83
Average total9.80
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.0%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.528.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Draw FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Away FT45.5%26.9%–65.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.4%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals13.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away63.6%