Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-10 · 17:00
15.0818.8%
X3.8325.0%
21.7056.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Parma
DLLLLLDLWL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Milan
WDWWWWLWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.90
2.00
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.80
Against
7.00
9.00
Total
12.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.90
2.00
Goals conceded
1.00
2.60
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Parma attack

0.60goals per match
Milan conceded1.00
Matchup

Milan attack

1.90goals per match
Parma conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.20
2H goals scored
1.00
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.80
Corners against
7.00
9.00
Match total
12.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.20
Match total
4.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
26.60
Match total
24.80

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
5.40
On target
6.50
5%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches56
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.8%30.4%+11.5 pp
Draw25.0%25.0%+0.0 pp
Away56.2%44.6%-11.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

1.211.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.7%
1-010.7%
2-110.7%
0-38.9%
2-28.9%

Comparable corner averages

3.886.04
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=56.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Draw FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Away FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals27.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.1%
Away55.6%