Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-10 · 14:00
11.8252.5%
X4.0323.7%
24.0223.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
LDLLWLWDDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Crotone
DLLLLLLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
3.20
60%
Over 2.5
90%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
2.30
1.60
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.10N=10
2.40
Against
5.40
6.70
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
3.20
2.60
Total goals
4.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.30goals per match
Crotone conceded3.20
Matchup

Crotone attack

1.10goals per match
Spezia conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
2.40
Corners against
5.40
6.70
Match total
8.50
10%1/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
6.10
Match total
3.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

17.10N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
32.30
Match total
25.10

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
5.10
On target
2.90
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches48
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.5%60.4%+7.9 pp
Draw23.7%22.9%-0.8 pp
Away23.8%16.7%-7.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS64.6%

Historical average

2.061.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.7%
1-110.4%
2-010.4%
3-16.3%
2-26.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.653.73
Average total9.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=48.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.541.7%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away45.5%