Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-10 · 14:00
11.8252.5%
X4.0323.7%
24.0223.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Spezia
LDLLWLWDDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Crotone
DLLLLLLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
3.20
60%
Over 2.5
90%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
2.30
1.60
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
3.10N=10
2.40
Against
5.40
6.70
Total
8.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
3.20
2.60
Total goals
4.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Spezia attack
1.30goals per matchCrotone conceded3.20Matchup
Crotone attack
1.10goals per matchSpezia conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
2.40
Corners against
5.40
6.70
Match total
8.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
6.10
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
17.10N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
32.30
Match total
25.10
Shots
10.20N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
5.10
On target
2.90
13%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches48
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.5%60.4%+7.9 pp
Draw23.7%22.9%-0.8 pp
Away23.8%16.7%-7.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS64.6%
Historical average
2.06–1.04
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-116.7%
1-110.4%
2-010.4%
3-16.3%
2-26.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.65–3.73
Average total9.38
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=48.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.541.7%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.525.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals18.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away45.5%