Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-07 · 17:45
11.9848.2%
X3.5826.7%
23.8025.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Juventus
DLWWWWWWWL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Napoli
LLWWLLLDWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.60
0.80
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
2.00
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.80
Against
4.00
10.20
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
2.90
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Juventus attack

2.10goals per match
Napoli conceded1.70
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.60goals per match
Juventus conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.00
10.20
Match total
9.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.00
Match total
5.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
24.70
Match total
24.50

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
7.70
On target
6.60
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches146
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.2%45.2%-3.0 pp
Draw26.7%24.7%-2.0 pp
Away25.1%30.1%+5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.534.2%
BTTS57.5%

Historical average

1.691.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.3%
1-29.6%
2-08.2%
2-17.5%
1-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.834.48
Average total10.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=146.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.2%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.544.5%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.1%22.5%–52.4% CI
Draw FT36.1%22.5%–52.4% CI
Away FT27.8%15.8%–44.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals36.1%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.8%
Away44.4%