Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 19:45
17.1113.4%
X4.6420.6%
21.4565.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
LWLDDWLDWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Inter
WWWLDDWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
2.00
1.40
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.00
1H goals
0.80
0.80
2H goals
2.00
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
6.40N=10
4.90
Against
3.80
9.60
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.00
1.40
Goals conceded
0.80
2.80
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.40goals per match
Inter conceded0.80
Matchup

Inter attack

2.00goals per match
Bologna conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.80
9.60
Match total
10.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.40
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
26.60
Match total
25.80

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
5.30
On target
6.80
14%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches42
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.4%23.8%+10.4 pp
Draw20.6%23.8%+3.2 pp
Away65.9%52.4%-13.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS54.8%

Historical average

1.171.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.3%
0-39.5%
2-29.5%
0-29.5%
1-19.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.336.69
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=42.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT64.3%38.8%–83.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.93

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home28.6%
Away78.6%