Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 19:45
17.1113.4%
X4.6420.6%
21.4565.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bologna
LWLDDWLDWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Inter
WWWLDDWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
2.00
1.40
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
2.00
1H goals
0.80
0.80
2H goals
2.00
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
6.40N=10
4.90
Against
3.80
9.60
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
2.00
1.40
Goals conceded
0.80
2.80
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bologna attack
1.40goals per matchInter conceded0.80Matchup
Inter attack
2.00goals per matchBologna conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.80
9.60
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.40
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.00N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
26.60
Match total
25.80
Shots
10.20N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
5.30
On target
6.80
14%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches42
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.4%23.8%+10.4 pp
Draw20.6%23.8%+3.2 pp
Away65.9%52.4%-13.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS54.8%
Historical average
1.17–1.74
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-114.3%
0-39.5%
2-29.5%
0-29.5%
1-19.5%
Comparable corner averages
3.33–6.69
Average total10.02
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=42.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.528.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%4.0%–39.9% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT64.3%38.8%–83.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.93
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals64.3%
3+ goals28.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home28.6%
Away78.6%