Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 14:00
14.6320.5%
X4.2922.2%
21.6657.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sassuolo
DLWLWDLDDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Roma
WLWLWLLDWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
6.30N=10
4.60
Against
2.40
10.20
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.90
2.80
Total goals
3.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.30goals per match
Roma conceded1.90
Matchup

Roma attack

1.40goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
4.60
Corners against
2.40
10.20
Match total
8.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.40
Match total
4.70
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
28.00
Match total
26.00

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
5.40
On target
5.40
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.5%22.6%+2.0 pp
Draw22.2%16.1%-6.0 pp
Away57.3%61.3%+4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.532.3%
BTTS58.1%

Historical average

1.261.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-216.1%
0-112.9%
2-39.7%
2-19.7%
1-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.266.00
Average total10.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.2%
Over 9.564.5%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Away FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals36.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away72.7%