Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 14:00
11.2278.1%
X6.5214.6%
213.067.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
LWWDLWWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Crotone
LDLLLLLLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.80
0.80
Conceded
2.90
60%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
2.00
2.00
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.30
Against
6.00
10.80
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded
2.90
3.10
Total goals
3.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

2.30goals per match
Crotone conceded2.90
Matchup

Crotone attack

0.80goals per match
Napoli conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.00
10.80
Match total
8.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.90
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
25.40
Match total
26.20

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
7.00N=10
7.50
On target
2.60
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.1%70.6%-7.5 pp
Draw14.6%20.6%+6.0 pp
Away7.3%8.8%+1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.2%
Over 2.567.6%
Over 3.529.4%
BTTS64.7%

Historical average

2.180.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-126.5%
1-111.8%
2-011.8%
4-08.8%
1-25.9%

Comparable corner averages

7.122.76
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.9%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%46.7%–82.0% CI
Draw FT20.8%9.2%–40.5% CI
Away FT12.5%4.3%–31.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals62.5%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home79.2%
Away29.2%