Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 14:00
11.4565.7%
X4.5820.8%
27.0813.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
DLLWWWWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Spezia
DLLWDLWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
2.30
60%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
2.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.80
Against
4.00
9.80
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
2.30
2.70
Total goals
3.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.70goals per match
Spezia conceded2.30
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.20goals per match
Lazio conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
2.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.00
9.80
Match total
8.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.80
Match total
4.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
26.40
Match total
27.50

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
6.20
On target
3.60
14%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches74
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.7%75.7%+9.9 pp
Draw20.8%14.9%-5.9 pp
Away13.5%9.5%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.537.8%
BTTS51.4%

Historical average

2.390.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.2%
3-112.2%
2-09.5%
3-09.5%
1-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.343.68
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=74.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.8%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.527.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT65.4%46.2%–80.6% CI
Draw FT23.1%11.0%–42.1% CI
Away FT11.5%4.0%–29.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.5%
2+ goals73.1%
3+ goals42.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.8%
Away38.5%