Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 14:00
13.2529.3%
X2.9832.0%
22.4638.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
LLDDWWWDDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Fiorentina
DLLWLLDLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

2.90N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.60
Against
4.80
8.50
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.40goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.80
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.00goals per match
Genoa conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.90N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.60
Corners against
4.80
8.50
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.80
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
25.50
Match total
29.40

Shots

7.60N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
3.80
On target
4.50
18%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.3%23.7%-5.6 pp
Draw32.0%26.3%-5.7 pp
Away38.7%50.0%+11.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.521.1%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

0.971.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-218.4%
1-115.8%
1-213.2%
0-07.9%
0-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.395.47
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.557.9%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.521.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away58.3%