Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 14:00
12.5836.9%
X3.2329.5%
22.8433.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
LDLLLDLLWL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Verona
WDWDLLLDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.30
1.80
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.10N=10
6.60
Against
5.50
12.60
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.30
1.80
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

0.70goals per match
Verona conceded1.40
Matchup

Verona attack

1.30goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
6.60
Corners against
5.50
12.60
Match total
9.60
100%10/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
100%10/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.50
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
27.40
Match total
28.00

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
3.50
On target
3.30
7%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches278
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.9%28.4%-8.5 pp
Draw29.5%37.8%+8.3 pp
Away33.6%33.8%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.519.1%
BTTS53.2%

Historical average

1.111.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.1%
0-111.9%
0-010.8%
2-17.6%
1-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.154.73
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=277.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.8%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.528.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches95
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.1%14.1%–30.3% CI
Draw FT52.6%42.7%–62.4% CI
Away FT26.3%18.5%–36.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.4%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals8.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.2%
Away49.5%