Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 14:00
12.6735.7%
X3.3028.9%
22.6935.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Benevento
DDWLLDDDLL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Parma
LWDLLDLLDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.20
1.80
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.90
Against
6.10
11.60
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.20
1.80
Goals conceded
2.10
2.70
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Benevento attack

0.90goals per match
Parma conceded2.10
Matchup

Parma attack

1.20goals per match
Benevento conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
6.90
Corners against
6.10
11.60
Match total
9.10
100%10/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.40
Match total
4.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
30.50
Match total
28.00

Shots

9.10N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
4.00
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches240
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.7%31.7%-4.0 pp
Draw28.9%25.8%-3.0 pp
Away35.4%42.5%+7.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

1.181.39

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
0-112.5%
1-010.4%
1-210.0%
2-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.334.72
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=240.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.552.5%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.532.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches82
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.0%19.5%–38.6% CI
Draw FT29.3%20.5%–39.9% CI
Away FT42.7%32.5%–53.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.8%
2+ goals46.3%
3+ goals20.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.1%
Away64.6%