Serie A · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 11:30
11.5262.8%
X4.2722.4%
26.4314.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
WDWLWLWLDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Sampdoria
DLWLLWDLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.80
Against
4.60
11.40
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
3.00
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.50goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.40
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.10goals per match
Milan conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.60
11.40
Match total
9.00
100%10/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.80
Match total
5.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
26.90
Match total
30.30

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
6.70
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.8%65.2%+2.4 pp
Draw22.4%20.2%-2.1 pp
Away14.8%14.6%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.538.2%
BTTS48.3%

Historical average

2.290.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-010.1%
3-010.1%
4-19.0%
2-07.9%
1-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.463.64
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.4%32.4%–71.7% CI
Draw FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Away FT9.5%2.7%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals47.6%
3+ goals23.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.2%
Away38.1%