Serie A · 2020/21
2021-03-21 · 19:45
12.6236.4%
X3.5027.2%
22.6236.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
DWWWDWWWLW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Napoli
WLLWWLLLDW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.80
1.10
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
2.30
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.30
Against
3.80
9.20
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.70
3.20
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Roma attack

2.10goals per match
Napoli conceded1.70
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.80goals per match
Roma conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.30
Corners against
3.80
9.20
Match total
8.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.40
Match total
5.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.70N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
28.20
Match total
23.70

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
7.40
On target
6.70
15%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches96
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.4%46.9%+10.5 pp
Draw27.2%22.9%-4.3 pp
Away36.4%30.2%-6.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.534.4%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

1.561.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.5%
3-19.4%
2-19.4%
0-18.3%
2-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.915.78
Average total10.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=96.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.560.4%
Over 10.547.9%
Over 11.540.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.4%27.2%–59.2% CI
Draw FT36.4%22.2%–53.4% CI
Away FT21.2%10.7%–37.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.76

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals48.5%
3+ goals21.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.6%
Away45.5%