Serie A · 2020/21
2021-03-21 · 17:00
13.4427.7%
X3.3628.4%
22.1743.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
DDDDWWLWLD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Milan
WWDWWWWLWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.90
1.10
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.50
Against
7.00
8.20
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.90
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
2.40
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.30goals per match
Milan conceded0.90
Matchup

Milan attack

1.90goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
80%8/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.50
Corners against
7.00
8.20
Match total
11.80
30%3/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.50
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
26.90
Match total
25.50

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.30
On target
6.60
13%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches141
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.7%25.5%-2.2 pp
Draw28.4%22.0%-6.4 pp
Away43.9%52.5%+8.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.527.7%
BTTS54.6%

Historical average

1.091.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.9%
1-212.8%
0-28.5%
1-18.5%
0-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.435.23
Average total9.66

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=141.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.3%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.1%15.6%–40.3% CI
Draw FT34.8%22.7%–49.2% CI
Away FT39.1%26.4%–53.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.61

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals23.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.7%
Away65.2%