Serie A · 2020/21
2021-03-21 · 11:30
14.9119.4%
X3.9524.1%
21.6956.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Verona
WLDLLWWWDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Atalanta
WDDDWDWWWL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.60
1.40
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
6.00N=10
3.90
Against
3.10
9.30
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.60
1.40
Goals conceded
0.70
2.80
Total goals
2.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Verona attack

1.40goals per match
Atalanta conceded0.70
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.60goals per match
Verona conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
3.90
Corners against
3.10
9.30
Match total
9.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.00
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
18.10N=10
30.30
Match total
31.40

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
14.80N=10
5.40
On target
7.60
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches64
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.4%21.9%+2.5 pp
Draw24.1%23.4%-0.7 pp
Away56.4%54.7%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS59.4%

Historical average

1.031.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
1-212.5%
0-19.4%
2-17.8%
1-47.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.035.47
Average total9.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=64.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.3%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals31.3%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away56.3%