Serie A · 2020/21
2021-03-20 · 17:00
12.6935.4%
X3.1230.5%
22.7934.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
DLDLLWLWDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Cagliari
LLDDLLLLWD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
2.20
Against
7.20
6.20
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
2.30
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.10goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.40
Matchup

Cagliari attack

0.90goals per match
Spezia conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
2.20
Corners against
7.20
6.20
Match total
10.90
10%1/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
6.40
Match total
4.40
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

17.70N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
33.10
Match total
26.80

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
4.80
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches155
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.4%28.4%-7.0 pp
Draw30.5%31.6%+1.1 pp
Away34.1%40.0%+5.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.521.9%
BTTS52.9%

Historical average

1.051.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
0-112.3%
0-011.6%
2-19.7%
1-29.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.184.52
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=155.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.525.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.7%14.7%–36.0% CI
Draw FT42.4%30.6%–55.1% CI
Away FT33.9%23.1%–46.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.5%
2+ goals37.3%
3+ goals18.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.4%
Away52.5%