Serie A · 2020/21
2021-03-20 · 14:00
13.4827.4%
X3.5726.7%
22.0845.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crotone
LLWWLWLLLW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Bologna
LDDDLLWDLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.90
2.10
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.00
2.00
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.40N=10
6.50
Against
6.10
10.70
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.90
2.10
Goals conceded
1.50
3.70
Total goals
2.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Crotone attack

1.60goals per match
Bologna conceded1.50
Matchup

Bologna attack

0.90goals per match
Crotone conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
6.50
Corners against
6.10
10.70
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.40N=10
5.60
Match total
3.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
31.30
Match total
26.10

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
5.20
On target
5.50
16%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches67
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.4%25.4%-2.0 pp
Draw26.7%28.4%+1.6 pp
Away45.9%46.3%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.573.1%
Over 3.547.8%
BTTS77.6%

Historical average

1.481.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.4%
1-210.4%
2-110.4%
2-29.0%
1-37.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.335.42
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=67.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.83

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away66.7%