Serie A · 2020/21
2021-03-19 · 19:45
12.5737.3%
X3.0831.1%
23.0331.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Parma
DDLLLLLDLW
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Genoa
LDLWLDWDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
0.70
1.80
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.80
Against
5.80
9.50
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
0.70
1.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.30
Total goals
1.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
20%2/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Parma attack

0.50goals per match
Genoa conceded1.10
Matchup

Genoa attack

0.70goals per match
Parma conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.40
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.80
9.50
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.30
Match total
4.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
15.90N=10
26.10
Match total
29.40

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
6.00N=10
4.50
On target
3.10
5%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches117
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.3%40.2%+2.9 pp
Draw31.1%31.6%+0.5 pp
Away31.6%28.2%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS48.7%

Historical average

1.151.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.4%
1-115.4%
0-012.0%
2-19.4%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.854.46
Average total9.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=117.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.549.6%
Over 10.534.2%
Over 11.524.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.6%20.5%–47.5% CI
Draw FT46.5%32.5%–61.1% CI
Away FT20.9%11.4%–35.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.4%
2+ goals32.6%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.5%
Away39.5%