Serie A · 2020/21
2021-03-14 · 19:45
12.6236.4%
X3.2329.5%
22.8034.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
DWDWLWLWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Napoli
WWLLWWLLLD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.80
1.60
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.50
Against
3.70
12.00
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.80
1.60
Goals conceded
1.70
3.30
Total goals
3.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.70goals per match
Napoli conceded1.70
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.80goals per match
Milan conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.50
Corners against
3.70
12.00
Match total
8.70
100%10/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.80
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
9.20N=10
28.30
Match total
23.80

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
7.20
On target
6.60
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches123
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.4%43.1%+6.7 pp
Draw29.5%24.4%-5.1 pp
Away34.1%32.5%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS56.9%

Historical average

1.441.27

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.6%
1-114.6%
1-29.8%
2-18.1%
0-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.084.57
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=123.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.535.0%
Over 11.528.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%34.1%–65.9% CI
Draw FT32.4%19.1%–49.2% CI
Away FT17.6%8.3%–33.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.74

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals26.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.5%
Away50.0%