Serie A · 2020/21
2021-03-14 · 17:00
15.9815.9%
X4.2222.6%
21.5561.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
DLDLLLDLLW
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Juventus
WDDWWWLWLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.90
1.70
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
6.10N=10
6.60
Against
4.30
12.20
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.90
1.70
Goals conceded
0.90
2.50
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

0.80goals per match
Juventus conceded0.90
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.90goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.20
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
6.60
Corners against
4.30
12.20
Match total
10.40
100%10/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.70
Match total
4.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
28.00
Match total
24.70

Shots

9.50N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
3.20
On target
6.20
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.9%18.6%+2.7 pp
Draw22.6%15.3%-7.3 pp
Away61.5%66.1%+4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.567.8%
Over 3.533.9%
BTTS50.8%

Historical average

0.832.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.3%
2-110.2%
0-28.5%
0-18.5%
0-38.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.906.08
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.561.0%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.530.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away68.8%