Serie A · 2020/21
2021-03-14 · 11:30
12.2941.6%
X3.2729.1%
23.2629.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
WLWLDDWLDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Sampdoria
LDLWLLWDLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.90
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.60
Against
4.60
9.80
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.40goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.30
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.00goals per match
Bologna conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.60
9.80
Match total
9.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.60
Match total
4.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
27.00
Match total
30.40

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
7.20N=10
5.70
On target
3.20
13%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches135
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.6%48.1%+6.5 pp
Draw29.1%28.1%-1.0 pp
Away29.2%23.7%-5.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS51.1%

Historical average

1.541.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
1-011.9%
2-08.9%
2-18.9%
0-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.634.37
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=135.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.8%25.1%–52.4% CI
Draw FT35.6%23.2%–50.2% CI
Away FT26.7%16.0%–41.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals48.9%
3+ goals28.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.8%
Away44.4%