Serie A · 2020/21
2021-03-12 · 19:45
11.2974.2%
X5.7816.5%
210.299.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
LWWWWDLDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Spezia
WDLLWDLWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.80
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
2.00
80%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.80
2.80
2H goals
2.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
2.20
Against
3.90
8.40
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
2.00
4.10
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.80goals per match
Spezia conceded2.00
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.40goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
2.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
2.20
Corners against
3.90
8.40
Match total
8.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.40
Match total
4.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.50N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
27.60
Match total
28.30

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
6.80
On target
4.00
20%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.2%70.6%-3.6 pp
Draw16.5%23.5%+7.0 pp
Away9.3%5.9%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS45.1%

Historical average

2.270.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-013.7%
3-011.8%
2-111.8%
2-29.8%
1-09.8%

Comparable corner averages

7.753.55
Average total11.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.588.2%
Over 9.578.4%
Over 10.562.7%
Over 11.543.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.5%38.6%–81.5% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT6.3%1.1%–28.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals62.5%
3+ goals37.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away31.3%