Serie A · 2020/21
2021-03-12 · 14:00
11.2676.0%
X6.1515.6%
211.328.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
WDLLWWWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Crotone
DLDLLLLLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.60
0.90
Conceded
2.60
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.70
1.40
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.60
Against
6.10
10.90
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.60
0.90
Goals conceded
2.60
2.50
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.60goals per match
Crotone conceded2.60
Matchup

Crotone attack

0.60goals per match
Lazio conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.60
Corners against
6.10
10.90
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
6.10
Match total
4.50
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
27.20
Match total
27.20

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
7.10N=10
5.70
On target
2.50
16%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.0%74.4%-1.6 pp
Draw15.6%18.6%+3.0 pp
Away8.5%7.0%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.0%
Over 2.569.8%
Over 3.544.2%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

2.510.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-014.0%
2-014.0%
2-114.0%
3-19.3%
1-19.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.883.07
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.8%
Over 9.546.5%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home83.3%
Away41.7%