Serie A · 2020/21
2021-03-07 · 14:00
13.5526.8%
X3.3028.9%
22.1544.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Verona
DWLDLLWWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Milan
WWWDWWWWLW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.90
1.20
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.00
Against
6.40
10.00
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.60
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Verona attack

1.40goals per match
Milan conceded1.00
Matchup

Milan attack

1.90goals per match
Verona conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
80%8/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.40
10.00
Match total
11.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.30
Match total
4.50
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.40N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
30.60
Match total
25.50

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
6.50
On target
6.60
12%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches68
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.8%22.1%-4.8 pp
Draw28.9%25.0%-3.9 pp
Away44.3%52.9%+8.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.8%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.529.4%
BTTS48.5%

Historical average

1.001.53

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-120.6%
0-010.3%
1-110.3%
1-28.8%
1-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.515.07
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=68.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%7.3%–38.5% CI
Draw FT50.0%30.7%–69.3% CI
Away FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.2%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.4%
Away54.5%