Serie A · 2020/21
2021-03-07 · 14:00
13.7625.4%
X3.3628.4%
22.0746.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crotone
LLLWWLWLLL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Torino
WLLLDWLDDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.60
2.10
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
6.00
Against
6.10
9.50
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
2.10
Goals conceded
1.80
3.40
Total goals
3.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Crotone attack

1.30goals per match
Torino conceded1.80
Matchup

Torino attack

1.60goals per match
Crotone conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
6.00
Corners against
6.10
9.50
Match total
8.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.40
Match total
5.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
16.30N=10
30.50
Match total
35.40

Shots

8.40N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.40
On target
5.50
15%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches68
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.4%29.4%+4.0 pp
Draw28.4%26.5%-2.0 pp
Away46.2%44.1%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.071.53

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.2%
2-110.3%
1-210.3%
1-08.8%
0-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.655.21
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=68.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI
Draw FT52.6%31.7%–72.7% CI
Away FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.4%
2+ goals31.6%
3+ goals10.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.1%
Away52.6%