Serie A · 2020/21
2021-03-07 · 11:30
11.5262.7%
X4.3022.2%
26.3215.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
WDWWWDWWWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Genoa
DLDLWLDWDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
1.10
80%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.80
1.90
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.30
Against
5.80
8.90
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
3.40
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Roma attack

2.30goals per match
Genoa conceded1.10
Matchup

Genoa attack

0.80goals per match
Roma conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.80
8.90
Match total
9.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.90
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
26.10
Match total
29.40

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
6.00N=10
7.70
On target
3.30
17%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches94
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.7%62.8%+0.0 pp
Draw22.2%26.6%+4.4 pp
Away15.1%10.6%-4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.534.0%
BTTS44.7%

Historical average

2.220.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
1-011.7%
3-09.6%
4-08.5%
2-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.303.62
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=94.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.529.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%24.5%–61.2% CI
Draw FT45.8%27.9%–64.9% CI
Away FT12.5%4.3%–31.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.2%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away37.5%