Serie A · 2020/21
2021-03-03 · 19:45
12.9931.9%
X3.1130.6%
22.5437.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
LLLLDDWWWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Sampdoria
WLDLWLLWDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
2.00
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

2.70N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.90
Against
4.70
8.60
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.40goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.30
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.20goals per match
Genoa conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.70N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.90
Corners against
4.70
8.60
Match total
8.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.00
Match total
5.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
15.50N=10
25.20
Match total
30.10

Shots

7.40N=10
Shots
6.70N=10
4.20
On target
3.00
19%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches84
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.9%29.8%-2.1 pp
Draw30.6%33.3%+2.7 pp
Away37.5%36.9%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS53.6%

Historical average

1.101.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.2%
0-113.1%
1-210.7%
1-010.7%
0-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.565.31
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=84.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.536.9%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.0%17.3%–49.2% CI
Draw FT34.5%19.9%–52.7% CI
Away FT34.5%19.9%–52.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.9%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals17.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.3%
Away51.7%