Serie A · 2020/21
2021-03-03 · 19:45
13.7425.6%
X3.5027.3%
22.0347.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
WLDDDDWWLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Roma
WDWLWLWLLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.60
0.90
Conceded
1.90
30%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.70
1.10
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.00
Against
3.30
8.80
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
2.10
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.20goals per match
Roma conceded1.90
Matchup

Roma attack

1.60goals per match
Fiorentina conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.00
Corners against
3.30
8.80
Match total
8.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.80
Match total
4.40
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
26.90
Match total
25.60

Shots

10.10N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.20
On target
5.40
12%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches71
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.6%22.5%-3.0 pp
Draw27.3%32.4%+5.1 pp
Away47.1%45.1%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.533.8%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

1.101.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.3%
0-111.3%
0-09.9%
2-29.9%
2-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.305.92
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=71.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.0%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.9%7.9%–35.6% CI
Draw FT42.9%26.5%–60.9% CI
Away FT39.3%23.6%–57.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals46.4%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.4%
Away57.1%