Serie A · 2020/21
2021-03-03 · 19:45
12.5737.1%
X3.2529.3%
22.8433.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cagliari
WDLDLLLDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Bologna
LWLDDDLLWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.10
1.70
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
5.60N=10
6.80
Against
6.20
11.60
Total
11.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cagliari attack
0.90goals per matchBologna conceded1.40Matchup
Bologna attack
1.10goals per matchCagliari conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
6.80
Corners against
6.20
11.60
Match total
11.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.50
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.60N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
27.50
Match total
25.10
Shots
10.00N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
3.40
On target
5.30
9%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches115
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.1%40.9%+3.8 pp
Draw29.3%25.2%-4.1 pp
Away33.6%33.9%+0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS56.5%
Historical average
1.42–1.29
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.7%
1-012.2%
2-19.6%
1-29.6%
0-17.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.88–4.70
Average total9.58
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=115.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.548.7%
Over 10.533.9%
Over 11.526.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%26.5%–60.9% CI
Draw FT32.1%17.9%–50.7% CI
Away FT25.0%12.7%–43.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.71
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals53.6%
3+ goals21.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home71.4%
Away50.0%