Serie A · 2020/21
2021-03-03 · 19:45
12.5737.1%
X3.2529.3%
22.8433.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
WDLDLLLDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Bologna
LWLDDDLLWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.10
1.70
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.60N=10
6.80
Against
6.20
11.60
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

0.90goals per match
Bologna conceded1.40
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.10goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
6.80
Corners against
6.20
11.60
Match total
11.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.50
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
27.50
Match total
25.10

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
3.40
On target
5.30
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches115
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.1%40.9%+3.8 pp
Draw29.3%25.2%-4.1 pp
Away33.6%33.9%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS56.5%

Historical average

1.421.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.7%
1-012.2%
2-19.6%
1-29.6%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.884.70
Average total9.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=115.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.548.7%
Over 10.533.9%
Over 11.526.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%26.5%–60.9% CI
Draw FT32.1%17.9%–50.7% CI
Away FT25.0%12.7%–43.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.7%
2+ goals53.6%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away50.0%