Serie A · 2020/21
2021-03-03 · 19:45
11.1880.9%
X7.4612.8%
215.216.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
DLWWWWDLDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Crotone
LDLDLLLLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
0.70
1.30
Conceded
2.50
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
2.00
2.60
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
2.80N=10
2.40
Against
6.20
8.40
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.70
1.30
Goals conceded
2.50
3.70
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.40goals per match
Crotone conceded2.50
Matchup

Crotone attack

0.70goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
2.40
Corners against
6.20
8.40
Match total
9.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.60
Match total
4.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

15.30N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
28.40
Match total
27.80

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
6.10
On target
2.90
18%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.9%68.2%-12.7 pp
Draw12.8%13.6%+0.8 pp
Away6.3%18.2%+11.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.518.2%
BTTS36.4%

Historical average

1.770.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-027.3%
1-113.6%
4-013.6%
1-013.6%
2-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

7.822.82
Average total10.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.559.1%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.545.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.0%
Away40.0%