Serie A · 2020/21
2021-03-03 · 17:30
13.5626.8%
X3.4927.3%
22.0845.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sassuolo
WDDLWLWDLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Napoli
WWWLLWWLLL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.70
1.40
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
6.10N=10
4.90
Against
3.40
10.20
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.40goals per match
Napoli conceded1.50
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.70goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.40
10.20
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.40
Match total
5.00
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
9.20N=10
27.00
Match total
24.00

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
5.10
On target
6.60
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.8%35.9%+9.1 pp
Draw27.3%17.9%-9.4 pp
Away45.9%46.2%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.546.2%
BTTS71.8%

Historical average

1.561.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.8%
2-110.3%
0-07.7%
2-27.7%
2-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.315.38
Average total9.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.4%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT46.2%23.2%–70.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals46.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away69.2%