Serie A · 2020/21
2021-03-02 · 19:45
11.2676.0%
X6.0315.9%
211.738.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Juventus
DWWDLWWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Spezia
DWDLLWDLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.60
0.80
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
2.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.80
Against
4.60
10.20
Total
8.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.90
2.80
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Juventus attack
2.00goals per matchSpezia conceded1.90Matchup
Spezia attack
1.60goals per matchJuventus conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.60
10.20
Match total
8.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.70
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
25.00
Match total
29.00
Shots
14.30N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
7.50
On target
4.70
14%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches30
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.0%83.3%+7.4 pp
Draw15.9%13.3%-2.5 pp
Away8.2%3.3%-4.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS46.7%
Historical average
2.37–0.57
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-123.3%
2-020.0%
4-010.0%
3-010.0%
3-16.7%
Comparable corner averages
7.07–3.67
Average total10.73
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=30.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.573.3%
Over 9.570.0%
Over 10.560.0%
Over 11.540.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT75.0%46.8%–91.1% CI
Draw FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Remaining goals
2.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals75.0%
3+ goals33.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home91.7%
Away41.7%