Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 19:45
12.3540.6%
X3.4327.8%
23.0131.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
WWDWWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Milan
WWWWDWWWWL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.90
0.90
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.80N=10
2.90
Against
6.20
8.70
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
3.30
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Roma attack

2.40goals per match
Milan conceded1.00
Matchup

Milan attack

1.90goals per match
Roma conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
1.00
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
80%8/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
2.90
Corners against
6.20
8.70
Match total
11.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.80
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

15.00N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
27.10
Match total
26.10

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
7.40
On target
5.60
19%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.6%37.7%-2.8 pp
Draw27.8%24.5%-3.3 pp
Away31.7%37.7%+6.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.539.6%
BTTS56.6%

Historical average

1.491.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-19.4%
0-29.4%
2-29.4%
2-17.5%
1-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.834.70
Average total10.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.558.5%
Over 10.547.2%
Over 11.543.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away33.3%