Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 19:45
12.3540.6%
X3.4327.8%
23.0131.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Roma
WWDWWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Milan
WWWWDWWWWL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
1.90
0.90
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
4.80N=10
2.90
Against
6.20
8.70
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
3.30
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Roma attack
2.40goals per matchMilan conceded1.00Matchup
Milan attack
1.90goals per matchRoma conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
1.00
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
2.90
Corners against
6.20
8.70
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.80
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.00N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
27.10
Match total
26.10
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
7.40
On target
5.60
19%
Conversion
20%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.6%37.7%-2.8 pp
Draw27.8%24.5%-3.3 pp
Away31.7%37.7%+6.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.539.6%
BTTS56.6%
Historical average
1.49–1.58
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-19.4%
0-29.4%
2-29.4%
2-17.5%
1-07.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.83–4.70
Average total10.53
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.558.5%
Over 10.547.2%
Over 11.543.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.73
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals33.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.0%
Away33.3%