Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 17:00
11.4167.7%
X4.8419.7%
27.5912.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
WLLWWDLWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Benevento
LLWDLWWLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.30
Against
5.40
11.20
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.90
3.20
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

2.20goals per match
Benevento conceded1.90
Matchup

Benevento attack

1.00goals per match
Napoli conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.40
11.20
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.00
Match total
5.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
25.20
Match total
27.10

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
8.00
On target
4.30
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.7%69.4%+1.7 pp
Draw19.7%22.6%+2.9 pp
Away12.6%8.1%-4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.569.4%
Over 3.535.5%
BTTS58.1%

Historical average

2.340.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.1%
3-011.3%
1-19.7%
3-19.7%
2-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.473.98
Average total10.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.6%
Over 9.562.9%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.535.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.3%32.0%–80.7% CI
Draw FT41.7%19.3%–68.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–24.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals41.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away25.0%