Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 14:00
12.3939.8%
X3.1530.2%
23.1829.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Udinese
LWLWDLLDDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Fiorentina
DLDLLWLLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.50
1.00
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.30
Against
4.90
9.70
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
1.90
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Udinese attack

0.90goals per match
Fiorentina conceded2.00
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

0.80goals per match
Udinese conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.90
9.70
Match total
9.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.30
Match total
3.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
28.40
Match total
29.50

Shots

9.00N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
4.20
On target
4.30
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches298
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.8%37.2%-2.6 pp
Draw30.2%32.6%+2.3 pp
Away29.9%30.2%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.525.5%
BTTS52.0%

Historical average

1.241.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.8%
0-110.7%
1-010.7%
0-09.4%
2-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.964.58
Average total9.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=298.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.4%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.536.2%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches107
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.4%16.4%–32.2% CI
Draw FT43.9%34.9%–53.4% CI
Away FT32.7%24.6%–42.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals41.1%
3+ goals15.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.6%
Away54.2%