Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 14:00
13.2729.1%
X3.6126.4%
22.1444.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crotone
DLLLWWLWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Cagliari
LWLLDDLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
2.00
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
6.00
Against
6.70
9.10
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
2.00
Goals conceded
1.90
3.40
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Crotone attack

1.40goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.90
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.00goals per match
Crotone conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
1.20
1H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
6.00
Corners against
6.70
9.10
Match total
10.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.40
Match total
3.60
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
30.50
Match total
25.90

Shots

8.20N=10
Shots
7.30N=10
4.30
On target
3.90
17%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches108
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.1%28.7%-0.4 pp
Draw26.4%25.0%-1.4 pp
Away44.5%46.3%+1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

1.091.49

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.9%
0-012.0%
1-110.2%
0-18.3%
1-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.375.19
Average total9.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=108.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.548.1%
Over 10.535.2%
Over 11.524.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.1%3.9%–28.1% CI
Draw FT51.9%34.0%–69.3% CI
Away FT37.0%21.5%–55.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.04

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal51.9%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals14.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home22.2%
Away44.4%