Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 11:30
15.0219.0%
X4.0423.6%
21.6657.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sampdoria
WDLLWLWWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Atalanta
WLWDDDWDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.90
1.40
Conceded
1.10
80%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.90
Against
3.20
13.00
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
3.10
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

1.70goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.90goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.90
Corners against
3.20
13.00
Match total
8.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.60
Match total
5.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
18.10N=10
24.50
Match total
32.40

Shots

9.00N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
4.70
On target
7.10
19%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.0%12.5%-6.5 pp
Draw23.6%31.3%+7.7 pp
Away57.4%56.3%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS62.5%

Historical average

1.312.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.8%
2-312.5%
0-212.5%
0-312.5%
2-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.886.13
Average total11.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.556.3%
Over 11.550.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away80.0%