Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 11:30
15.0219.0%
X4.0423.6%
21.6657.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sampdoria
WDLLWLWWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Atalanta
WLWDDDWDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.90
1.40
Conceded
1.10
80%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
7.10N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.90
Against
3.20
13.00
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
3.10
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sampdoria attack
1.70goals per matchAtalanta conceded1.10Matchup
Atalanta attack
1.90goals per matchSampdoria conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.90
Corners against
3.20
13.00
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.60
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
18.10N=10
24.50
Match total
32.40
Shots
9.00N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
4.70
On target
7.10
19%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.0%12.5%-6.5 pp
Draw23.6%31.3%+7.7 pp
Away57.4%56.3%-1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.593.8%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS62.5%
Historical average
1.31–2.25
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.8%
2-312.5%
0-212.5%
0-312.5%
2-16.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.88–6.13
Average total11.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.562.5%
Over 10.556.3%
Over 11.550.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.90
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.0%
Away80.0%