Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 17:00
13.5726.7%
X3.6126.4%
22.0346.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
LWLWLDDWLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Lazio
LWWWDLDWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.80
1.90
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.70
1.30
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.00
Against
4.20
10.50
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.80
1.90
Goals conceded
1.60
3.40
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.50goals per match
Lazio conceded1.60
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.80goals per match
Bologna conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.20
10.50
Match total
8.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.70
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
27.50
Match total
23.60

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.60
On target
5.20
14%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches65
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.7%16.9%-9.8 pp
Draw26.4%29.2%+2.8 pp
Away46.9%53.8%+6.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.538.5%
BTTS64.6%

Historical average

1.061.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.3%
1-210.8%
2-29.2%
0-27.7%
1-47.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.376.28
Average total10.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=65.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.3%
Over 9.558.5%
Over 10.549.2%
Over 11.535.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%5.0%–34.6% CI
Draw FT47.6%28.3%–67.6% CI
Away FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.81

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals61.9%
3+ goals23.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.9%
Away61.9%