Serie A · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 14:00
12.4039.7%
X3.1730.1%
23.1630.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
DLDLDLLWLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Parma
LDLWDLLDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
2.70
Against
7.60
6.50
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
2.10
2.60
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.10goals per match
Parma conceded2.10
Matchup

Parma attack

1.10goals per match
Spezia conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
2.70
Corners against
7.60
6.50
Match total
10.50
10%1/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.90
Match total
4.60
100%10/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

17.50N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
31.80
Match total
25.10

Shots

8.60N=10
Shots
6.90N=10
3.90
On target
2.80
13%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches188
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.7%43.1%+3.3 pp
Draw30.1%29.3%-0.8 pp
Away30.2%27.7%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS52.7%

Historical average

1.421.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.0%
2-110.1%
1-010.1%
0-18.5%
2-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.155.20
Average total10.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=188.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.560.1%
Over 10.546.3%
Over 11.534.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.9%9.5%–28.5% CI
Draw FT49.2%36.8%–61.6% CI
Away FT33.9%23.1%–46.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.0%
2+ goals49.2%
3+ goals8.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.5%
Away62.7%